Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over Chongqing on August 18, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima in the 33–35°C range. This aligns with mid-August climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon environment, where high humidity and seasonal rainfall patterns typically moderate peak temperatures below historical extremes. Market-implied probabilities—led by 34°C at 37%—reflect trader consensus on these conditions, with lower odds assigned to clearer-sky scenarios that could allow brief spikes above 36°C. New model runs and observational data expected later on August 17 may refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
34°C 38%
35°C 26%
33°C 23%
36°C 10%
$13,370 Vol.
$13,370 Vol.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
23%
34°C
38%
35°C
26%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 26%
33°C 23%
36°C 10%
$13,370 Vol.
$13,370 Vol.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
23%
34°C
38%
35°C
26%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show thundershowers and persistent cloud cover over Chongqing on August 18, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima in the 33–35°C range. This aligns with mid-August climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon environment, where high humidity and seasonal rainfall patterns typically moderate peak temperatures below historical extremes. Market-implied probabilities—led by 34°C at 37%—reflect trader consensus on these conditions, with lower odds assigned to clearer-sky scenarios that could allow brief spikes above 36°C. New model runs and observational data expected later on August 17 may refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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