Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Chongqing’s maximum temperature on August 12 will most likely reach 36–37 °C, driven by a strong subtropical high, warm southerly advection, and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where urban heat-island effects and high boundary-layer moisture can produce slight variations around the peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 36 °C and 20.5% for 37 °C, incorporates model spread on exact moisture levels and localized amplification, with lower odds assigned to 38 °C or below 35 °C given the current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of peak heating will remain key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
36°C 44%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
38°C 5%
BAGO
$38,079 Vol.
BAGO
$38,079 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
28%
36°C
44%
37°C
20%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 44%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
38°C 5%
BAGO
$38,079 Vol.
BAGO
$38,079 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,212 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,523 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,113 Vol.
4%
35°C
$2,617 Vol.
28%
36°C
$5,892 Vol.
44%
37°C
$6,822 Vol.
20%
38°C
$3,127 Vol.
5%
39°C
$3,989 Vol.
1%
40°C
$1,388 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,898 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Chongqing’s maximum temperature on August 12 will most likely reach 36–37 °C, driven by a strong subtropical high, warm southerly advection, and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where urban heat-island effects and high boundary-layer moisture can produce slight variations around the peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 36 °C and 20.5% for 37 °C, incorporates model spread on exact moisture levels and localized amplification, with lower odds assigned to 38 °C or below 35 °C given the current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of peak heating will remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$38,079Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Chongqing’s maximum temperature on August 12 will most likely reach 36–37 °C, driven by a strong subtropical high, warm southerly advection, and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where urban heat-island effects and high boundary-layer moisture can produce slight variations around the peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 36 °C and 20.5% for 37 °C, incorporates model spread on exact moisture levels and localized amplification, with lower odds assigned to 38 °C or below 35 °C given the current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of peak heating will remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,079Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Chongqing’s maximum temperature on August 12 will most likely reach 36–37 °C, driven by a strong subtropical high, warm southerly advection, and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where urban heat-island effects and high boundary-layer moisture can produce slight variations around the peak. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 36 °C and 20.5% for 37 °C, incorporates model spread on exact moisture levels and localized amplification, with lower odds assigned to 38 °C or below 35 °C given the current forecast guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of peak heating will remain key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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