Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100–101°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, directly supporting the market’s leading 46% implied probability for that range. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits have sustained heat across central Texas, keeping daytime maxima 3–5°F above seasonal normals of 96–98°F. Recent short-range model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon mixing or thin high clouds as the main variables that could trim readings into the upper 90s. Longer-range guidance through mid-August indicates continued hot, dry conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture influx before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on August 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 15?
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 22%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 22%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$104 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$385 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$328 Vol.
18%
100-101°F
$310 Vol.
46%
102-103°F
$15 Vol.
22%
104-105°F
$80 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$49 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$149 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$164 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100–101°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, directly supporting the market’s leading 46% implied probability for that range. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits have sustained heat across central Texas, keeping daytime maxima 3–5°F above seasonal normals of 96–98°F. Recent short-range model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon mixing or thin high clouds as the main variables that could trim readings into the upper 90s. Longer-range guidance through mid-August indicates continued hot, dry conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture influx before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,598Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100–101°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, directly supporting the market’s leading 46% implied probability for that range. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits have sustained heat across central Texas, keeping daytime maxima 3–5°F above seasonal normals of 96–98°F. Recent short-range model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon mixing or thin high clouds as the main variables that could trim readings into the upper 90s. Longer-range guidance through mid-August indicates continued hot, dry conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture influx before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,598Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100–101°F in Austin on August 15 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, directly supporting the market’s leading 46% implied probability for that range. Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-average soil moisture deficits have sustained heat across central Texas, keeping daytime maxima 3–5°F above seasonal normals of 96–98°F. Recent short-range model runs show minimal spread, with only modest afternoon mixing or thin high clouds as the main variables that could trim readings into the upper 90s. Longer-range guidance through mid-August indicates continued hot, dry conditions without significant frontal passages or moisture influx before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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