Recent forecasts for Austin on August 14, 2026, center on a high near the long-term August normal of 99°F, with models indicating mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical ridge. This pattern favors strong daytime heating through clear or broken cloud cover, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and light winds limiting mixing. The narrow spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon convection timing and exact cloud fraction, which can reduce insolation by 10-20% and cap the maximum. Low probabilities for 100°F+ align with limited model support for stronger ridging or drier air, while cooler bins account for any earlier widespread clouds. Updated NWS and global model runs will refine these variables before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$190 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$113 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$300 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$161 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$118 Vol.
36%
98-99°F
$741 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$101 Vol.
12%
102-103°F
$39 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$195 Vol.
2%
106°F or higher
$496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Austin on August 14, 2026, center on a high near the long-term August normal of 99°F, with models indicating mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical ridge. This pattern favors strong daytime heating through clear or broken cloud cover, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and light winds limiting mixing. The narrow spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon convection timing and exact cloud fraction, which can reduce insolation by 10-20% and cap the maximum. Low probabilities for 100°F+ align with limited model support for stronger ridging or drier air, while cooler bins account for any earlier widespread clouds. Updated NWS and global model runs will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,579Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Austin on August 14, 2026, center on a high near the long-term August normal of 99°F, with models indicating mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical ridge. This pattern favors strong daytime heating through clear or broken cloud cover, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and light winds limiting mixing. The narrow spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon convection timing and exact cloud fraction, which can reduce insolation by 10-20% and cap the maximum. Low probabilities for 100°F+ align with limited model support for stronger ridging or drier air, while cooler bins account for any earlier widespread clouds. Updated NWS and global model runs will refine these variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,579Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Austin on August 14, 2026, center on a high near the long-term August normal of 99°F, with models indicating mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies under a subtropical ridge. This pattern favors strong daytime heating through clear or broken cloud cover, southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, and light winds limiting mixing. The narrow spread between 96-97°F and 98-99°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon convection timing and exact cloud fraction, which can reduce insolation by 10-20% and cap the maximum. Low probabilities for 100°F+ align with limited model support for stronger ridging or drier air, while cooler bins account for any earlier widespread clouds. Updated NWS and global model runs will refine these variables before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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