Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show slight divergence in afternoon convective timing, with isolated thunderstorms potentially developing late on the 15th and moderating peak readings, while clearer periods could support 37 °C or higher. Historical August climatology averages highs around 32–34 °C, but current basin-wide heat and low wind shear favor the upper end of the distribution, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36 °C. Updated NMC guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 15?
36°C 27%
37°C 23%
38°C 16%
34°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
13%
35°C
13%
36°C
27%
37°C
23%
38°C
16%
39°C or higher
5%
36°C 27%
37°C 23%
38°C 16%
34°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$554 Vol.
1%
30°C
$17 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
4%
32°C
$10 Vol.
4%
33°C
$55 Vol.
7%
34°C
$65 Vol.
13%
35°C
$32 Vol.
13%
36°C
$72 Vol.
27%
37°C
$103 Vol.
23%
38°C
$5 Vol.
16%
39°C or higher
$44 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show slight divergence in afternoon convective timing, with isolated thunderstorms potentially developing late on the 15th and moderating peak readings, while clearer periods could support 37 °C or higher. Historical August climatology averages highs around 32–34 °C, but current basin-wide heat and low wind shear favor the upper end of the distribution, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36 °C. Updated NMC guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$967Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show slight divergence in afternoon convective timing, with isolated thunderstorms potentially developing late on the 15th and moderating peak readings, while clearer periods could support 37 °C or higher. Historical August climatology averages highs around 32–34 °C, but current basin-wide heat and low wind shear favor the upper end of the distribution, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36 °C. Updated NMC guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$967Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for mid-August 2026 place Chengdu's daily maximum near 34–37 °C, reflecting the seasonal influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that sustains warm, humid southwesterly flow across the Sichuan Basin. Recent runs show slight divergence in afternoon convective timing, with isolated thunderstorms potentially developing late on the 15th and moderating peak readings, while clearer periods could support 37 °C or higher. Historical August climatology averages highs around 32–34 °C, but current basin-wide heat and low wind shear favor the upper end of the distribution, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36 °C. Updated NMC guidance and ensemble spreads expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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