Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
35°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$22,742 Vol.
$22,742 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$22,742 Vol.
$22,742 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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