Republican majorities in both chambers currently block House passage of articles of impeachment, keeping proceedings improbable through the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 62% for “Yes” before January 2029 centers on polling that shows Democrats positioned to flip the House, which would enable new resolutions in a subsequent Congress. Trump’s approval ratings in the low-to-mid 30s have sustained Democratic momentum and public support for accountability measures. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions have already been introduced and tabled under GOP control, illustrating the procedural path that could reopen if partisan balance shifts. Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate hurdle, but the market prices the elevated likelihood of House action following potential midterm outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$89,652 ปริมาณ
$89,652 ปริมาณ
$89,652 ปริมาณ
$89,652 ปริมาณ
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers currently block House passage of articles of impeachment, keeping proceedings improbable through the 2026 midterms. Trader consensus at 62% for “Yes” before January 2029 centers on polling that shows Democrats positioned to flip the House, which would enable new resolutions in a subsequent Congress. Trump’s approval ratings in the low-to-mid 30s have sustained Democratic momentum and public support for accountability measures. Multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions have already been introduced and tabled under GOP control, illustrating the procedural path that could reopen if partisan balance shifts. Senate conviction thresholds remain a separate hurdle, but the market prices the elevated likelihood of House action following potential midterm outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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