Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว63% โอกาส
$89,702 ปริมาณ
$89,702 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
63% โอกาส
$89,702 ปริมาณ
$89,702 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,702วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,702วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in the 2026 Iran conflict, including President Trump's public statements on military actions, have prompted over 70 House Democrats to call for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment, building on an earlier resolution introduced in December 2025. With the November 2026 midterms approaching and polls showing Republican vulnerability in the House amid approval ratings near 37-45%, traders assess a strong chance of Democratic control shifting committee leadership and enabling articles of impeachment. Historical patterns of opposition-party oversight after midterms and Trump's own warnings about post-election proceedings further shape the 63% implied probability for House passage before the term concludes in 2029, though Senate removal remains a separate threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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