Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban voter base across southern and eastern portions of the state, reinforced by consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's June primary victory over challenger Phil Lyman consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, where she faces Democrat Kent Udell alongside minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Trader consensus pricing these odds at over 90 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's partisan baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$4,448 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$2,411 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban voter base across southern and eastern portions of the state, reinforced by consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's June primary victory over challenger Phil Lyman consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, where she faces Democrat Kent Udell alongside minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Trader consensus pricing these odds at over 90 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,858วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban voter base across southern and eastern portions of the state, reinforced by consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's June primary victory over challenger Phil Lyman consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, where she faces Democrat Kent Udell alongside minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Trader consensus pricing these odds at over 90 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,858วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban voter base across southern and eastern portions of the state, reinforced by consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Celeste Maloy's June primary victory over challenger Phil Lyman consolidated party support ahead of the November general election, where she faces Democrat Kent Udell alongside minor-party candidates. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising gaps. Trader consensus pricing these odds at over 90 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability given current indicators and the district's partisan baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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