Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in the heavily Democratic Arizona 7th district underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and delivered large margins for Democrats in prior cycles, including Grijalva's decisive 2025 special election win. Recent July primaries confirmed her nomination against limited intra-party opposition while Republicans settled on Daniel Butierez Sr. as their nominee. The district's southern border location and Hispanic-majority demographics have sustained its left-leaning tilt despite a modest rightward shift in 2024 voting patterns. A serious Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds or an unforeseen scandal to overcome these structural factors before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$14,625 ปริมาณ
$14,625 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,625 ปริมาณ
$14,625 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$8,831 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in the heavily Democratic Arizona 7th district underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and delivered large margins for Democrats in prior cycles, including Grijalva's decisive 2025 special election win. Recent July primaries confirmed her nomination against limited intra-party opposition while Republicans settled on Daniel Butierez Sr. as their nominee. The district's southern border location and Hispanic-majority demographics have sustained its left-leaning tilt despite a modest rightward shift in 2024 voting patterns. A serious Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds or an unforeseen scandal to overcome these structural factors before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,625วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in the heavily Democratic Arizona 7th district underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and delivered large margins for Democrats in prior cycles, including Grijalva's decisive 2025 special election win. Recent July primaries confirmed her nomination against limited intra-party opposition while Republicans settled on Daniel Butierez Sr. as their nominee. The district's southern border location and Hispanic-majority demographics have sustained its left-leaning tilt despite a modest rightward shift in 2024 voting patterns. A serious Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds or an unforeseen scandal to overcome these structural factors before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,625วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in the heavily Democratic Arizona 7th district underpins trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+13 and delivered large margins for Democrats in prior cycles, including Grijalva's decisive 2025 special election win. Recent July primaries confirmed her nomination against limited intra-party opposition while Republicans settled on Daniel Butierez Sr. as their nominee. The district's southern border location and Hispanic-majority demographics have sustained its left-leaning tilt despite a modest rightward shift in 2024 voting patterns. A serious Republican upset would require substantial national tailwinds or an unforeseen scandal to overcome these structural factors before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย