Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, which carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and last elected him with 58.5 percent in 2024. Recent polling from early 2026 showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic challengers by margins of 3 to 10 points, aligning with the market's 72.5 percent Republican probability. The August 11 primaries, featuring Finstad on the Republican side and a contest between Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson on the Democratic ballot, are unlikely to alter the general election trajectory ahead of November 3 voting. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$18,560 ปริมาณ
$18,560 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
29%
$18,560 ปริมาณ
$18,560 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,801 ปริมาณ
73%
Democratic Party
$9,759 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, which carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and last elected him with 58.5 percent in 2024. Recent polling from early 2026 showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic challengers by margins of 3 to 10 points, aligning with the market's 72.5 percent Republican probability. The August 11 primaries, featuring Finstad on the Republican side and a contest between Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson on the Democratic ballot, are unlikely to alter the general election trajectory ahead of November 3 voting. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,560วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, which carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and last elected him with 58.5 percent in 2024. Recent polling from early 2026 showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic challengers by margins of 3 to 10 points, aligning with the market's 72.5 percent Republican probability. The August 11 primaries, featuring Finstad on the Republican side and a contest between Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson on the Democratic ballot, are unlikely to alter the general election trajectory ahead of November 3 voting. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,560วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, which carries a Republican partisan voting index of R+6 and last elected him with 58.5 percent in 2024. Recent polling from early 2026 showed Finstad ahead of likely Democratic challengers by margins of 3 to 10 points, aligning with the market's 72.5 percent Republican probability. The August 11 primaries, featuring Finstad on the Republican side and a contest between Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson on the Democratic ballot, are unlikely to alter the general election trajectory ahead of November 3 voting. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย