Court-ordered redistricting shifted Utah's 1st congressional district substantially leftward ahead of the 2026 midterms, converting the previously Republican-held open seat into a safely Democratic district according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary, positioning the party nominee as the clear frontrunner in a contest where trader consensus now assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds from the altered electorate and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as unexpected national partisan swings, unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters, or significant candidate-specific events could still narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$36,350 ปริมาณ
$36,350 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$36,350 ปริมาณ
$36,350 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,217 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$31,134 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting shifted Utah's 1st congressional district substantially leftward ahead of the 2026 midterms, converting the previously Republican-held open seat into a safely Democratic district according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary, positioning the party nominee as the clear frontrunner in a contest where trader consensus now assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds from the altered electorate and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as unexpected national partisan swings, unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters, or significant candidate-specific events could still narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,350วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Court-ordered redistricting shifted Utah's 1st congressional district substantially leftward ahead of the 2026 midterms, converting the previously Republican-held open seat into a safely Democratic district according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary, positioning the party nominee as the clear frontrunner in a contest where trader consensus now assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds from the altered electorate and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as unexpected national partisan swings, unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters, or significant candidate-specific events could still narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,350วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Court-ordered redistricting shifted Utah's 1st congressional district substantially leftward ahead of the 2026 midterms, converting the previously Republican-held open seat into a safely Democratic district according to multiple nonpartisan ratings. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary, positioning the party nominee as the clear frontrunner in a contest where trader consensus now assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds from the altered electorate and limited recent polling movement. Late developments such as unexpected national partisan swings, unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters, or significant candidate-specific events could still narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current district fundamentals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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