Moonshot AI’s mid-July release of the open-weight Kimi K3 model, which posted top-tier results on agentic coding and long-horizon benchmarks while trailing only leading Anthropic and OpenAI systems, has tightened trader views on third-place positioning. OpenAI’s concurrent rollout of GPT-5.6 agent tooling and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 updates keep the race fluid, with Chinese labs demonstrating rapid gains in multi-step autonomy and cost efficiency. The near-even 50 percent implied odds across Moonshot, OpenAI, and several peers reflect ongoing uncertainty over how quickly open models and new releases will shift developer adoption and benchmark leadership by month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 49%
Moonshot 49%
Anthropic 27%
Z.ai 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
OpenAI
49%
Moonshot
49%
Anthropic
27%
Z.ai
27%
SpaceXAI
27%
Meta
27%
Alibaba
27%
27%
MiniMax
27%
Amazon
27%
Mistral
27%
Meituan
27%
Microsoft
27%
DeepSeek
26%
Xiaomi
26%
Baidu
26%
ByteDance
26%
Nvidia
25%
OpenAI 49%
Moonshot 49%
Anthropic 27%
Z.ai 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
OpenAI
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Moonshot
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Anthropic
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Z.ai
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
SpaceXAI
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Meta
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Alibaba
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
MiniMax
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Amazon
$33 ปริมาณ
27%
Mistral
$33 ปริมาณ
27%
Meituan
$24 ปริมาณ
27%
Microsoft
$33 ปริมาณ
27%
DeepSeek
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Xiaomi
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Baidu
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
ByteDance
$31 ปริมาณ
26%
Nvidia
$31 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s mid-July release of the open-weight Kimi K3 model, which posted top-tier results on agentic coding and long-horizon benchmarks while trailing only leading Anthropic and OpenAI systems, has tightened trader views on third-place positioning. OpenAI’s concurrent rollout of GPT-5.6 agent tooling and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 updates keep the race fluid, with Chinese labs demonstrating rapid gains in multi-step autonomy and cost efficiency. The near-even 50 percent implied odds across Moonshot, OpenAI, and several peers reflect ongoing uncertainty over how quickly open models and new releases will shift developer adoption and benchmark leadership by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s mid-July release of the open-weight Kimi K3 model, which posted top-tier results on agentic coding and long-horizon benchmarks while trailing only leading Anthropic and OpenAI systems, has tightened trader views on third-place positioning. OpenAI’s concurrent rollout of GPT-5.6 agent tooling and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 updates keep the race fluid, with Chinese labs demonstrating rapid gains in multi-step autonomy and cost efficiency. The near-even 50 percent implied odds across Moonshot, OpenAI, and several peers reflect ongoing uncertainty over how quickly open models and new releases will shift developer adoption and benchmark leadership by month-end.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$185วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI’s mid-July release of the open-weight Kimi K3 model, which posted top-tier results on agentic coding and long-horizon benchmarks while trailing only leading Anthropic and OpenAI systems, has tightened trader views on third-place positioning. OpenAI’s concurrent rollout of GPT-5.6 agent tooling and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 updates keep the race fluid, with Chinese labs demonstrating rapid gains in multi-step autonomy and cost efficiency. The near-even 50 percent implied odds across Moonshot, OpenAI, and several peers reflect ongoing uncertainty over how quickly open models and new releases will shift developer adoption and benchmark leadership by month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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