Traders see a tightly contested race for second place in the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by late October, with Anthropic’s Claude models currently leading on agentic front-end tasks requiring multi-step reasoning and tool use. Moonshot’s Kimi K3, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini, Mistral’s coding-focused releases, and several Chinese labs including DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Alibaba’s Qwen series sit within striking distance due to rapid iteration on context windows, SWE-bench-style agentic performance, and cost-efficient inference. Recent frontier updates have narrowed gaps across proprietary and open-weight entries, while historical patterns show rankings can shift quickly ahead of major developer conferences or new model drops. Market-implied odds near 50% across most labs reflect this uncertainty and the potential for late-cycle releases to reorder the field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 47%
OpenAI 47%
Z.ai 47%
ByteDance 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
47%
OpenAI
47%
Z.ai
47%
ByteDance
47%
Thinky
47%
Poolside
47%
Moonshot
47%
SpaceXAI
47%
MiniMax
47%
Xiaomi
47%
Tencent
47%
Meta
46%
46%
DeepSeek
46%
Alibaba
45%
Mistral
45%
Anthropic 47%
OpenAI 47%
Z.ai 47%
ByteDance 47%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
OpenAI
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Z.ai
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
ByteDance
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Thinky
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Poolside
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Moonshot
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
SpaceXAI
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
MiniMax
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Xiaomi
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Tencent
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
Meta
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
DeepSeek
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
Alibaba
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Mistral
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for second place in the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by late October, with Anthropic’s Claude models currently leading on agentic front-end tasks requiring multi-step reasoning and tool use. Moonshot’s Kimi K3, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini, Mistral’s coding-focused releases, and several Chinese labs including DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Alibaba’s Qwen series sit within striking distance due to rapid iteration on context windows, SWE-bench-style agentic performance, and cost-efficient inference. Recent frontier updates have narrowed gaps across proprietary and open-weight entries, while historical patterns show rankings can shift quickly ahead of major developer conferences or new model drops. Market-implied odds near 50% across most labs reflect this uncertainty and the potential for late-cycle releases to reorder the field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for second place in the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by late October, with Anthropic’s Claude models currently leading on agentic front-end tasks requiring multi-step reasoning and tool use. Moonshot’s Kimi K3, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini, Mistral’s coding-focused releases, and several Chinese labs including DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Alibaba’s Qwen series sit within striking distance due to rapid iteration on context windows, SWE-bench-style agentic performance, and cost-efficient inference. Recent frontier updates have narrowed gaps across proprietary and open-weight entries, while historical patterns show rankings can shift quickly ahead of major developer conferences or new model drops. Market-implied odds near 50% across most labs reflect this uncertainty and the potential for late-cycle releases to reorder the field.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested race for second place in the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by late October, with Anthropic’s Claude models currently leading on agentic front-end tasks requiring multi-step reasoning and tool use. Moonshot’s Kimi K3, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini, Mistral’s coding-focused releases, and several Chinese labs including DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Alibaba’s Qwen series sit within striking distance due to rapid iteration on context windows, SWE-bench-style agentic performance, and cost-efficient inference. Recent frontier updates have narrowed gaps across proprietary and open-weight entries, while historical patterns show rankings can shift quickly ahead of major developer conferences or new model drops. Market-implied odds near 50% across most labs reflect this uncertainty and the potential for late-cycle releases to reorder the field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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