Ongoing military operations between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to shape trader assessments of ceasefire prospects, with recent RSF drone strikes on multiple northern cities and SAF actions in Darfur underscoring active escalation rather than de-escalation as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives led by the Quad grouping have produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces followed by political talks, yet these remain stalled amid mutual preconditions, including demands for territorial withdrawals. Regional mediation efforts through the African Union and UN have similarly yielded no breakthrough, while both factions maintain battlefield momentum in key areas such as Kordofan and Blue Nile. Historical patterns of rejected ceasefires and external actor involvement reinforce the market's implied caution on near-term agreements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$119,392 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
$119,392 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$14,853 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing military operations between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to shape trader assessments of ceasefire prospects, with recent RSF drone strikes on multiple northern cities and SAF actions in Darfur underscoring active escalation rather than de-escalation as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives led by the Quad grouping have produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces followed by political talks, yet these remain stalled amid mutual preconditions, including demands for territorial withdrawals. Regional mediation efforts through the African Union and UN have similarly yielded no breakthrough, while both factions maintain battlefield momentum in key areas such as Kordofan and Blue Nile. Historical patterns of rejected ceasefires and external actor involvement reinforce the market's implied caution on near-term agreements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$119,392วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing military operations between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to shape trader assessments of ceasefire prospects, with recent RSF drone strikes on multiple northern cities and SAF actions in Darfur underscoring active escalation rather than de-escalation as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives led by the Quad grouping have produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces followed by political talks, yet these remain stalled amid mutual preconditions, including demands for territorial withdrawals. Regional mediation efforts through the African Union and UN have similarly yielded no breakthrough, while both factions maintain battlefield momentum in key areas such as Kordofan and Blue Nile. Historical patterns of rejected ceasefires and external actor involvement reinforce the market's implied caution on near-term agreements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$119,392วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces continue to shape trader assessments of ceasefire prospects, with recent RSF drone strikes on multiple northern cities and SAF actions in Darfur underscoring active escalation rather than de-escalation as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives led by the Quad grouping have produced repeated proposals for humanitarian truces followed by political talks, yet these remain stalled amid mutual preconditions, including demands for territorial withdrawals. Regional mediation efforts through the African Union and UN have similarly yielded no breakthrough, while both factions maintain battlefield momentum in key areas such as Kordofan and Blue Nile. Historical patterns of rejected ceasefires and external actor involvement reinforce the market's implied caution on near-term agreements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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