Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 that stretches from Portland suburbs through the Willamette Valley to Bend. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects Bynum’s 2024 general-election victory, her decisive May 2026 primary win, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Patti Adair in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The October 14 debate and broader midterm dynamics represent the main near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities, though any Republican path would require overcoming the district’s partisan baseline and Bynum’s incumbency advantages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-05 House Election Winner
OR-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$884 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$4,087 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 that stretches from Portland suburbs through the Willamette Valley to Bend. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects Bynum’s 2024 general-election victory, her decisive May 2026 primary win, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Patti Adair in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The October 14 debate and broader midterm dynamics represent the main near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities, though any Republican path would require overcoming the district’s partisan baseline and Bynum’s incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,971วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 that stretches from Portland suburbs through the Willamette Valley to Bend. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects Bynum’s 2024 general-election victory, her decisive May 2026 primary win, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Patti Adair in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The October 14 debate and broader midterm dynamics represent the main near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities, though any Republican path would require overcoming the district’s partisan baseline and Bynum’s incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,971วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+4 that stretches from Portland suburbs through the Willamette Valley to Bend. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects Bynum’s 2024 general-election victory, her decisive May 2026 primary win, and the structural challenges facing Republican nominee Patti Adair in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The October 14 debate and broader midterm dynamics represent the main near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities, though any Republican path would require overcoming the district’s partisan baseline and Bynum’s incumbency advantages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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