Republican Bob Onder, the freshman incumbent in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the 2026 race after winning the seat with 61.3% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature multiple Democratic entrants including Bethany Mann but lack signs of a serious general-election threat. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected Republican primary disruption, or successful redistricting referendum could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-03 House Election Winner
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Bob Onder, the freshman incumbent in Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the 2026 race after winning the seat with 61.3% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature multiple Democratic entrants including Bethany Mann but lack signs of a serious general-election threat. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican aligns with this structural advantage. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected Republican primary disruption, or successful redistricting referendum could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย