**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-summer nocturnal cooling in high-elevation Mexico City is driving the closely matched market odds.** Multiple models show a minimum temperature near 12–14 °C for September 11, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~13 °C at ~2,240 m elevation), but spread in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and light rain produces divergent outcomes. Persistent clouds or showers from the ongoing rainy season reduce radiative cooling and support higher minima near or above 14–17 °C, while clearer breaks allow stronger surface cooling toward 7 °C or below. Light winds and high humidity near the surface further modulate the rate of overnight temperature drop. Recent observations show partly cloudy conditions with scattered precipitation, keeping the current trajectory near the middle bins (12–14 °C) yet leaving room for model shifts overnight. Traders are weighting the possibility of forecast revisions from official sources such as Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, with the next model runs and observational updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 11?
7°C or below 77%
17°C or higher 77%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
77%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
22%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
77%
7°C or below 77%
17°C or higher 77%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
12°C
$1 ปริมาณ
22%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-summer nocturnal cooling in high-elevation Mexico City is driving the closely matched market odds.** Multiple models show a minimum temperature near 12–14 °C for September 11, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~13 °C at ~2,240 m elevation), but spread in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and light rain produces divergent outcomes.
Persistent clouds or showers from the ongoing rainy season reduce radiative cooling and support higher minima near or above 14–17 °C, while clearer breaks allow stronger surface cooling toward 7 °C or below. Light winds and high humidity near the surface further modulate the rate of overnight temperature drop. Recent observations show partly cloudy conditions with scattered precipitation, keeping the current trajectory near the middle bins (12–14 °C) yet leaving room for model shifts overnight.
Traders are weighting the possibility of forecast revisions from official sources such as Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, with the next model runs and observational updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-summer nocturnal cooling in high-elevation Mexico City is driving the closely matched market odds.** Multiple models show a minimum temperature near 12–14 °C for September 11, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~13 °C at ~2,240 m elevation), but spread in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and light rain produces divergent outcomes.
Persistent clouds or showers from the ongoing rainy season reduce radiative cooling and support higher minima near or above 14–17 °C, while clearer breaks allow stronger surface cooling toward 7 °C or below. Light winds and high humidity near the surface further modulate the rate of overnight temperature drop. Recent observations show partly cloudy conditions with scattered precipitation, keeping the current trajectory near the middle bins (12–14 °C) yet leaving room for model shifts overnight.
Traders are weighting the possibility of forecast revisions from official sources such as Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, with the next model runs and observational updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around typical late-summer nocturnal cooling in high-elevation Mexico City is driving the closely matched market odds.** Multiple models show a minimum temperature near 12–14 °C for September 11, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~13 °C at ~2,240 m elevation), but spread in predicted cloud cover, humidity, and light rain produces divergent outcomes. Persistent clouds or showers from the ongoing rainy season reduce radiative cooling and support higher minima near or above 14–17 °C, while clearer breaks allow stronger surface cooling toward 7 °C or below. Light winds and high humidity near the surface further modulate the rate of overnight temperature drop. Recent observations show partly cloudy conditions with scattered precipitation, keeping the current trajectory near the middle bins (12–14 °C) yet leaving room for model shifts overnight. Traders are weighting the possibility of forecast revisions from official sources such as Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, with the next model runs and observational updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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