Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on September 12 amid the rainy season, with high cloud cover, showers, and moderate northeasterly winds expected to limit afternoon warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C but supports the market's clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, as precipitation often caps peaks below seasonal norms. The elevated 50% implied probability on 26°C or higher reflects trader emphasis on model spread, potential for clearer skies or delayed rain allowing brief warming, and recent weeks' variable conditions that have occasionally produced above-average readings. Updated runs and official monitoring from Mexican meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 12?
26°C or higher 48%
25°C 28%
24°C 26%
23°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
23%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C or higher
48%
26°C or higher 48%
25°C 28%
24°C 26%
23°C 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
24°C
$9 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on September 12 amid the rainy season, with high cloud cover, showers, and moderate northeasterly winds expected to limit afternoon warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C but supports the market's clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, as precipitation often caps peaks below seasonal norms. The elevated 50% implied probability on 26°C or higher reflects trader emphasis on model spread, potential for clearer skies or delayed rain allowing brief warming, and recent weeks' variable conditions that have occasionally produced above-average readings. Updated runs and official monitoring from Mexican meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on September 12 amid the rainy season, with high cloud cover, showers, and moderate northeasterly winds expected to limit afternoon warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C but supports the market's clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, as precipitation often caps peaks below seasonal norms. The elevated 50% implied probability on 26°C or higher reflects trader emphasis on model spread, potential for clearer skies or delayed rain allowing brief warming, and recent weeks' variable conditions that have occasionally produced above-average readings. Updated runs and official monitoring from Mexican meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on September 12 amid the rainy season, with high cloud cover, showers, and moderate northeasterly winds expected to limit afternoon warming at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C but supports the market's clustering around 23–25°C outcomes, as precipitation often caps peaks below seasonal norms. The elevated 50% implied probability on 26°C or higher reflects trader emphasis on model spread, potential for clearer skies or delayed rain allowing brief warming, and recent weeks' variable conditions that have occasionally produced above-average readings. Updated runs and official monitoring from Mexican meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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