Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's September 11 high will likely reach 23–25°C, with 25°C emerging as the market favorite due to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent September observations show daily maxima fluctuating between 22–28°C amid the rainy season's influence, with current runs showing cooler-than-peak conditions from increased humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. Historical climatology for early September places typical highs near 23–25°C, and model consensus supports limited upward spikes absent clear skies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening forecast revisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 11?
25°C 49%
26°C or higher 34%
24°C 14%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
14%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
34%
25°C 49%
26°C or higher 34%
24°C 14%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$266 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$54 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$71 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$167 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$119 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$369 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$908 ปริมาณ
49%
26°C or higher
$1,122 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's September 11 high will likely reach 23–25°C, with 25°C emerging as the market favorite due to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent September observations show daily maxima fluctuating between 22–28°C amid the rainy season's influence, with current runs showing cooler-than-peak conditions from increased humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. Historical climatology for early September places typical highs near 23–25°C, and model consensus supports limited upward spikes absent clear skies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening forecast revisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,784วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's September 11 high will likely reach 23–25°C, with 25°C emerging as the market favorite due to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent September observations show daily maxima fluctuating between 22–28°C amid the rainy season's influence, with current runs showing cooler-than-peak conditions from increased humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. Historical climatology for early September places typical highs near 23–25°C, and model consensus supports limited upward spikes absent clear skies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening forecast revisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,784วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's September 11 high will likely reach 23–25°C, with 25°C emerging as the market favorite due to persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent September observations show daily maxima fluctuating between 22–28°C amid the rainy season's influence, with current runs showing cooler-than-peak conditions from increased humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 60%. Historical climatology for early September places typical highs near 23–25°C, and model consensus supports limited upward spikes absent clear skies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and evening forecast revisions represent key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the 25°C and 26°C+ outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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