Current forecasts from European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and west-northwest winds of 5–10 mph, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent Atlantic maritime air and high humidity near 90 % suppress sharper drops, while historical September 13 averages show a mean low of 11.1 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–16 °C because model runs differ modestly on exact timing of any clearing, with lower outcomes (≤12 °C) priced near 50 % reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any post-midnight wind shift. Fresh surface observations and updated high-resolution guidance later today will narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
12°C or below 99%
14°C 99%
13°C 97%
17°C 92%
12°C or below
99%
13°C
97%
14°C
99%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 99%
14°C 99%
13°C 97%
17°C 92%
12°C or below
99%
13°C
97%
14°C
99%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European models indicate Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and west-northwest winds of 5–10 mph, limiting radiative cooling. Persistent Atlantic maritime air and high humidity near 90 % suppress sharper drops, while historical September 13 averages show a mean low of 11.1 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–16 °C because model runs differ modestly on exact timing of any clearing, with lower outcomes (≤12 °C) priced near 50 % reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any post-midnight wind shift. Fresh surface observations and updated high-resolution guidance later today will narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย