The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 1st congressional district, anchored on Chicago’s South Side, underpins the 94.2% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026, House election. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured roughly 66% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a long record of large Democratic margins under the current map. The Republican nominee, Christian Maxwell, faces the structural barriers typical of the district, including limited fundraising and voter registration disadvantages. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical base rates for similar urban seats. Only an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-01 House Election Winner
IL-01 House Election Winner
$50,353 ปริมาณ
$50,353 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$50,353 ปริมาณ
$50,353 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,547 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$23,805 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 1st congressional district, anchored on Chicago’s South Side, underpins the 94.2% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026, House election. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured roughly 66% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a long record of large Democratic margins under the current map. The Republican nominee, Christian Maxwell, faces the structural barriers typical of the district, including limited fundraising and voter registration disadvantages. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical base rates for similar urban seats. Only an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,353วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 1st congressional district, anchored on Chicago’s South Side, underpins the 94.2% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026, House election. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured roughly 66% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a long record of large Democratic margins under the current map. The Republican nominee, Christian Maxwell, faces the structural barriers typical of the district, including limited fundraising and voter registration disadvantages. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical base rates for similar urban seats. Only an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,353วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 1st congressional district, anchored on Chicago’s South Side, underpins the 94.2% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026, House election. Incumbent Jonathan Jackson secured roughly 66% of the vote in 2024, and the seat carries a long record of large Democratic margins under the current map. The Republican nominee, Christian Maxwell, faces the structural barriers typical of the district, including limited fundraising and voter registration disadvantages. Cook Political Report classifies the race Solid Democratic, consistent with historical base rates for similar urban seats. Only an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the implied probability reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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