**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, which show surface temperatures peaking near that threshold amid a cooler air mass, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs have converged on this value, consistent with the day's thermodynamic profile where dew points and reduced solar insolation limit further warming. While measurement timing, microclimate variations at official stations, or late-day clearing could theoretically push readings slightly higher or lower, the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution leave little room for alternative outcomes to gain traction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$14,106 ปริมาณ
$14,106 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
26°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$14,106 ปริมาณ
$14,106 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
$961 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,411 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,526 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,162 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$1,649 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$775 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$820 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,508 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$721 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$670 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$904 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, which show surface temperatures peaking near that threshold amid a cooler air mass, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs have converged on this value, consistent with the day's thermodynamic profile where dew points and reduced solar insolation limit further warming. While measurement timing, microclimate variations at official stations, or late-day clearing could theoretically push readings slightly higher or lower, the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution leave little room for alternative outcomes to gain traction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,106วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, which show surface temperatures peaking near that threshold amid a cooler air mass, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs have converged on this value, consistent with the day's thermodynamic profile where dew points and reduced solar insolation limit further warming. While measurement timing, microclimate variations at official stations, or late-day clearing could theoretically push readings slightly higher or lower, the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution leave little room for alternative outcomes to gain traction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,106วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on August 12, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range forecast models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, which show surface temperatures peaking near that threshold amid a cooler air mass, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppressing daytime heating. Recent model runs have converged on this value, consistent with the day's thermodynamic profile where dew points and reduced solar insolation limit further warming. While measurement timing, microclimate variations at official stations, or late-day clearing could theoretically push readings slightly higher or lower, the narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution leave little room for alternative outcomes to gain traction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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