Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on August 4 indicate a high near 27°C under a mix of sun and cloud, aligning closely with the long-term normal maximum of 27°C for early August. This positions the 27°C outcome as the market favorite, with nearby values reflecting typical model uncertainty and minor variations in local observations at Pearson Airport. Recent broader patterns show moderating temperatures after earlier summer heat waves, with no strong warming or cooling signals in current guidance to shift the most likely range. Traders are incorporating the narrow spread between forecast runs and historical analogs, where highs cluster around seasonal averages absent major synoptic changes. Updated model outputs and official observations later today remain key inputs for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
27°C 51%
28°C 28%
26°C 18%
29°C 3.3%
ใหม่
$10,303 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,303 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
18%
27°C
51%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 28%
26°C 18%
29°C 3.3%
ใหม่
$10,303 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,303 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
21°C or below
$292 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$686 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$758 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,034 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$855 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$3,391 ปริมาณ
51%
28°C
$896 ปริมาณ
28%
29°C
$1,011 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$554 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on August 4 indicate a high near 27°C under a mix of sun and cloud, aligning closely with the long-term normal maximum of 27°C for early August. This positions the 27°C outcome as the market favorite, with nearby values reflecting typical model uncertainty and minor variations in local observations at Pearson Airport. Recent broader patterns show moderating temperatures after earlier summer heat waves, with no strong warming or cooling signals in current guidance to shift the most likely range. Traders are incorporating the narrow spread between forecast runs and historical analogs, where highs cluster around seasonal averages absent major synoptic changes. Updated model outputs and official observations later today remain key inputs for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,303วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on August 4 indicate a high near 27°C under a mix of sun and cloud, aligning closely with the long-term normal maximum of 27°C for early August. This positions the 27°C outcome as the market favorite, with nearby values reflecting typical model uncertainty and minor variations in local observations at Pearson Airport. Recent broader patterns show moderating temperatures after earlier summer heat waves, with no strong warming or cooling signals in current guidance to shift the most likely range. Traders are incorporating the narrow spread between forecast runs and historical analogs, where highs cluster around seasonal averages absent major synoptic changes. Updated model outputs and official observations later today remain key inputs for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,303วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada for Toronto on August 4 indicate a high near 27°C under a mix of sun and cloud, aligning closely with the long-term normal maximum of 27°C for early August. This positions the 27°C outcome as the market favorite, with nearby values reflecting typical model uncertainty and minor variations in local observations at Pearson Airport. Recent broader patterns show moderating temperatures after earlier summer heat waves, with no strong warming or cooling signals in current guidance to shift the most likely range. Traders are incorporating the narrow spread between forecast runs and historical analogs, where highs cluster around seasonal averages absent major synoptic changes. Updated model outputs and official observations later today remain key inputs for final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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