Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 21%
23°C 6%
ใหม่
$21,551 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,551 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 21%
23°C 6%
ใหม่
$21,551 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$21,551 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$735 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$2,626 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$1,400 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$4,678 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$3,947 ปริมาณ
35%
25°C
$1,883 ปริมาณ
32%
26°C
$1,469 ปริมาณ
21%
27°C
$797 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$521 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$3,174 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,551วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,551วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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