Current model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and private forecasts points to a high temperature in the mid-60s °F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine layer influence that limits daytime warming. This setup favors the market-leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins, consistent with recent observations showing highs in the upper 60s amid mostly cloudy conditions and light winds. Historical September averages near 71°F provide context, but current steering patterns and cloud cover suppress temperatures below that baseline. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance showing minimal warming potential ahead of the overnight period, with any late-day clearing unlikely to push readings into the upper 60s or beyond. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will offer the next resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 23%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 35%
64-65°F 23%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
62-63°F
$179 ปริมาณ
7%
64-65°F
$270 ปริมาณ
23%
66-67°F
$101 ปริมาณ
35%
68-69°F
$233 ปริมาณ
23%
70-71°F
$28 ปริมาณ
11%
72-73°F
$492 ปริมาณ
2%
74-75°F
$69 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
78°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and private forecasts points to a high temperature in the mid-60s °F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine layer influence that limits daytime warming. This setup favors the market-leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins, consistent with recent observations showing highs in the upper 60s amid mostly cloudy conditions and light winds. Historical September averages near 71°F provide context, but current steering patterns and cloud cover suppress temperatures below that baseline. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance showing minimal warming potential ahead of the overnight period, with any late-day clearing unlikely to push readings into the upper 60s or beyond. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will offer the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,524วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and private forecasts points to a high temperature in the mid-60s °F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine layer influence that limits daytime warming. This setup favors the market-leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins, consistent with recent observations showing highs in the upper 60s amid mostly cloudy conditions and light winds. Historical September averages near 71°F provide context, but current steering patterns and cloud cover suppress temperatures below that baseline. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance showing minimal warming potential ahead of the overnight period, with any late-day clearing unlikely to push readings into the upper 60s or beyond. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will offer the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,524วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service and private forecasts points to a high temperature in the mid-60s °F for San Francisco on September 20, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and marine layer influence that limits daytime warming. This setup favors the market-leading 66-67°F and 64-65°F bins, consistent with recent observations showing highs in the upper 60s amid mostly cloudy conditions and light winds. Historical September averages near 71°F provide context, but current steering patterns and cloud cover suppress temperatures below that baseline. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance showing minimal warming potential ahead of the overnight period, with any late-day clearing unlikely to push readings into the upper 60s or beyond. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will offer the next resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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