Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 14?
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
$12,976 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,976 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
$12,976 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,976 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$90 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$1,324 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$2,564 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$2,204 ปริมาณ
34%
28°C
$3,787 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$2,186 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$80 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$2 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,976วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,976วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high near 26–27°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and modest humidity, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Afternoon cloud cover and subtle steering patterns introduce variability that could trim the peak by 1°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 28°C. Historical September averages near 22°C highlight the current warmth anomaly, while ensemble spread and potential model revisions before resolution keep lower (25°C or below) and higher (29°C+) probabilities alive though slim. Traders appear to anchor on the latest official guidance, with the tight clustering around 26–28°C reflecting consensus amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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