PAGASA forecasts indicate a 30°C high for Manila on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and reduced solar insolation that limits daytime heating. Official outlooks show 60-100% rain probability with temperatures capped near the seasonal 30-31°C average, as moist southwesterly flow enhances convection and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30°C and 31°C because model runs vary on rainfall timing and intensity, with even modest breaks in cloudiness potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while persistent showers favor 29-30°C. Historical August baselines and current monsoon persistence support this narrow range over higher outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 13?
30°C 41%
31°C 38%
29°C 11%
32°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
41%
31°C
38%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
31°C 38%
29°C 11%
32°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$226 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$354 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$1,099 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$680 ปริมาณ
41%
31°C
$863 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$518 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$754 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$288 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts indicate a 30°C high for Manila on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and reduced solar insolation that limits daytime heating. Official outlooks show 60-100% rain probability with temperatures capped near the seasonal 30-31°C average, as moist southwesterly flow enhances convection and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30°C and 31°C because model runs vary on rainfall timing and intensity, with even modest breaks in cloudiness potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while persistent showers favor 29-30°C. Historical August baselines and current monsoon persistence support this narrow range over higher outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,536วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts indicate a 30°C high for Manila on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and reduced solar insolation that limits daytime heating. Official outlooks show 60-100% rain probability with temperatures capped near the seasonal 30-31°C average, as moist southwesterly flow enhances convection and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30°C and 31°C because model runs vary on rainfall timing and intensity, with even modest breaks in cloudiness potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while persistent showers favor 29-30°C. Historical August baselines and current monsoon persistence support this narrow range over higher outliers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,536วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts indicate a 30°C high for Manila on August 13 amid the southwest monsoon, which drives widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and reduced solar insolation that limits daytime heating. Official outlooks show 60-100% rain probability with temperatures capped near the seasonal 30-31°C average, as moist southwesterly flow enhances convection and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30°C and 31°C because model runs vary on rainfall timing and intensity, with even modest breaks in cloudiness potentially allowing brief warming to 31°C while persistent showers favor 29-30°C. Historical August baselines and current monsoon persistence support this narrow range over higher outliers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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