Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position Houston's August 12 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the 94-95°F bin's 47.5% market-implied probability and the 96-97°F range at 27.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 95°F under typical subtropical high pressure, with daily maxima modulated by afternoon sea-breeze convection or scattered thunderstorms that can cap temperatures if they develop early. Recent model runs indicate continued heat across southeast Texas with limited cloud cover through midday, supporting the market consensus while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts depending on storm timing and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are weighting official guidance against historical variability, where highs rarely exceed 99°F or fall below 93°F in mid-August without major synoptic changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 12?
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 31%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 2%
ใหม่
$13,935 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,935 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
31%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 31%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 2%
ใหม่
$13,935 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,935 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$440 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$587 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$980 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$387 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$1,946 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$883 ปริมาณ
17%
94-95°F
$1,824 ปริมาณ
49%
96-97°F
$5,261 ปริมาณ
31%
98-99°F
$601 ปริมาณ
2%
100-101°F
$511 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position Houston's August 12 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the 94-95°F bin's 47.5% market-implied probability and the 96-97°F range at 27.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 95°F under typical subtropical high pressure, with daily maxima modulated by afternoon sea-breeze convection or scattered thunderstorms that can cap temperatures if they develop early. Recent model runs indicate continued heat across southeast Texas with limited cloud cover through midday, supporting the market consensus while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts depending on storm timing and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are weighting official guidance against historical variability, where highs rarely exceed 99°F or fall below 93°F in mid-August without major synoptic changes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,935วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position Houston's August 12 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the 94-95°F bin's 47.5% market-implied probability and the 96-97°F range at 27.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 95°F under typical subtropical high pressure, with daily maxima modulated by afternoon sea-breeze convection or scattered thunderstorms that can cap temperatures if they develop early. Recent model runs indicate continued heat across southeast Texas with limited cloud cover through midday, supporting the market consensus while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts depending on storm timing and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are weighting official guidance against historical variability, where highs rarely exceed 99°F or fall below 93°F in mid-August without major synoptic changes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,935วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts position Houston's August 12 high in the mid-90s, aligning with the 94-95°F bin's 47.5% market-implied probability and the 96-97°F range at 27.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 95°F under typical subtropical high pressure, with daily maxima modulated by afternoon sea-breeze convection or scattered thunderstorms that can cap temperatures if they develop early. Recent model runs indicate continued heat across southeast Texas with limited cloud cover through midday, supporting the market consensus while leaving room for slight upward or downward shifts depending on storm timing and boundary-layer moisture. Traders are weighting official guidance against historical variability, where highs rarely exceed 99°F or fall below 93°F in mid-August without major synoptic changes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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