Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and Ashley Moody's appointment as the temporary incumbent position her strongly in the November 2026 special election to complete Marco Rubio's term. Recent polls from March through May show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by margins of three to eleven points, reflecting advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and statewide visibility as the state's former attorney general. The August 18 primaries and general election timeline allow limited opportunity for challengers to close gaps in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and polling factors while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$40,242 ปริมาณ
$40,242 ปริมาณ
Republican
81%
Democrat
19%
$40,242 ปริมาณ
$40,242 ปริมาณ
Republican
$20,607 ปริมาณ
81%
Democrat
$19,634 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and Ashley Moody's appointment as the temporary incumbent position her strongly in the November 2026 special election to complete Marco Rubio's term. Recent polls from March through May show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by margins of three to eleven points, reflecting advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and statewide visibility as the state's former attorney general. The August 18 primaries and general election timeline allow limited opportunity for challengers to close gaps in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and polling factors while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,242ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and Ashley Moody's appointment as the temporary incumbent position her strongly in the November 2026 special election to complete Marco Rubio's term. Recent polls from March through May show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by margins of three to eleven points, reflecting advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and statewide visibility as the state's former attorney general. The August 18 primaries and general election timeline allow limited opportunity for challengers to close gaps in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and polling factors while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,242ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and Ashley Moody's appointment as the temporary incumbent position her strongly in the November 2026 special election to complete Marco Rubio's term. Recent polls from March through May show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by margins of three to eleven points, reflecting advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and statewide visibility as the state's former attorney general. The August 18 primaries and general election timeline allow limited opportunity for challengers to close gaps in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and polling factors while leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes or late-cycle developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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