Databricks' recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion post-money valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue growth above 80% year-over-year to a run-rate exceeding $7 billion, anchors trader sentiment for its eventual IPO market cap. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled no 2026 listing amid crowded tech offerings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic, favoring a 2027 debut to establish a higher private benchmark. With current private marks near $190 billion and AI infrastructure multiples of 25-30x revenue, implied probabilities cluster tightly around $150-250 billion debut ranges, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, share dilution, and market conditions at listing versus the 23% odds assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 94%
$350B-$400B 94%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
94%
$350B-$400B
94%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
25%
$200B-$250B 95%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 94%
$350B-$400B 94%
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
95%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
94%
$350B-$400B
94%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
25%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' recent $5 billion funding round at a $190 billion post-money valuation in August 2026, alongside accelerating revenue growth above 80% year-over-year to a run-rate exceeding $7 billion, anchors trader sentiment for its eventual IPO market cap. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled no 2026 listing amid crowded tech offerings from peers like OpenAI and Anthropic, favoring a 2027 debut to establish a higher private benchmark. With current private marks near $190 billion and AI infrastructure multiples of 25-30x revenue, implied probabilities cluster tightly around $150-250 billion debut ranges, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing, share dilution, and market conditions at listing versus the 23% odds assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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