Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with scheduled investor meetings and lead banks positioning for an October or fall 2026 debut, has driven the 89.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $965 billion post-money valuation after its recent Series H round, higher annualized revenue run rate, and active preparation contrast with OpenAI’s shift of its target to 2027 after earlier fall-2026 ambitions. Traders view Anthropic’s regulatory filing and underwriter momentum as the decisive near-term catalyst, while OpenAI’s internal timing debates and later timeline create the primary gap in consensus. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates or final pricing windows for either firm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic
$244,108 ปริมาณ
$244,108 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$244,108 ปริมาณ
$244,108 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with scheduled investor meetings and lead banks positioning for an October or fall 2026 debut, has driven the 89.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $965 billion post-money valuation after its recent Series H round, higher annualized revenue run rate, and active preparation contrast with OpenAI’s shift of its target to 2027 after earlier fall-2026 ambitions. Traders view Anthropic’s regulatory filing and underwriter momentum as the decisive near-term catalyst, while OpenAI’s internal timing debates and later timeline create the primary gap in consensus. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates or final pricing windows for either firm.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$244,108วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with scheduled investor meetings and lead banks positioning for an October or fall 2026 debut, has driven the 89.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $965 billion post-money valuation after its recent Series H round, higher annualized revenue run rate, and active preparation contrast with OpenAI’s shift of its target to 2027 after earlier fall-2026 ambitions. Traders view Anthropic’s regulatory filing and underwriter momentum as the decisive near-term catalyst, while OpenAI’s internal timing debates and later timeline create the primary gap in consensus. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates or final pricing windows for either firm.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$244,108วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with scheduled investor meetings and lead banks positioning for an October or fall 2026 debut, has driven the 89.5% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $965 billion post-money valuation after its recent Series H round, higher annualized revenue run rate, and active preparation contrast with OpenAI’s shift of its target to 2027 after earlier fall-2026 ambitions. Traders view Anthropic’s regulatory filing and underwriter momentum as the decisive near-term catalyst, while OpenAI’s internal timing debates and later timeline create the primary gap in consensus. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates or final pricing windows for either firm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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