Recent Anthropic announcements position Claude Opus 5 as the frontrunner for best AI model on August 24, driven by its July 24 launch delivering near-frontier performance comparable to the higher-tier Fable 5 at half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, 128K output tokens, thinking enabled by default, and the full effort ladder up to max settings. Traders favor the claude-opus-5-max variant at 78.5% implied probability because it became the default on the Claude Max plan and supports advanced agentic features like mid-conversation tool changes, outpacing prior Opus 4.8 iterations and alternatives such as Qwen3.8-max. No major competing releases have emerged in the past two weeks to shift this consensus, though rapid iteration in the Claude 5 family continues to underscore how quickly capabilities evolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วclaude-opus-5-max 79%
claude-opus-5-high 10.0%
Other 6.0%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 4.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
79%
claude-opus-5-high
9%
Other
6%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
4%
qwen3.8-max
1%
claude-opus-5-max 79%
claude-opus-5-high 10.0%
Other 6.0%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 4.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
$567 ปริมาณ
79%
claude-opus-5-high
$117 ปริมาณ
9%
Other
$349 ปริมาณ
6%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$99 ปริมาณ
4%
qwen3.8-max
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent Anthropic announcements position Claude Opus 5 as the frontrunner for best AI model on August 24, driven by its July 24 launch delivering near-frontier performance comparable to the higher-tier Fable 5 at half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, 128K output tokens, thinking enabled by default, and the full effort ladder up to max settings. Traders favor the claude-opus-5-max variant at 78.5% implied probability because it became the default on the Claude Max plan and supports advanced agentic features like mid-conversation tool changes, outpacing prior Opus 4.8 iterations and alternatives such as Qwen3.8-max. No major competing releases have emerged in the past two weeks to shift this consensus, though rapid iteration in the Claude 5 family continues to underscore how quickly capabilities evolve.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,180วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent Anthropic announcements position Claude Opus 5 as the frontrunner for best AI model on August 24, driven by its July 24 launch delivering near-frontier performance comparable to the higher-tier Fable 5 at half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, 128K output tokens, thinking enabled by default, and the full effort ladder up to max settings. Traders favor the claude-opus-5-max variant at 78.5% implied probability because it became the default on the Claude Max plan and supports advanced agentic features like mid-conversation tool changes, outpacing prior Opus 4.8 iterations and alternatives such as Qwen3.8-max. No major competing releases have emerged in the past two weeks to shift this consensus, though rapid iteration in the Claude 5 family continues to underscore how quickly capabilities evolve.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,180วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Anthropic announcements position Claude Opus 5 as the frontrunner for best AI model on August 24, driven by its July 24 launch delivering near-frontier performance comparable to the higher-tier Fable 5 at half the cost, with a 1-million-token context window, 128K output tokens, thinking enabled by default, and the full effort ladder up to max settings. Traders favor the claude-opus-5-max variant at 78.5% implied probability because it became the default on the Claude Max plan and supports advanced agentic features like mid-conversation tool changes, outpacing prior Opus 4.8 iterations and alternatives such as Qwen3.8-max. No major competing releases have emerged in the past two weeks to shift this consensus, though rapid iteration in the Claude 5 family continues to underscore how quickly capabilities evolve.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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