Zelenskyy’s X activity typically averages around 12 posts daily, producing weekly totals that cluster in the 60–120 range, which aligns with the leading market probabilities for the September 8–15 window. Ongoing diplomatic efforts, including the just-completed U.S. envoys’ visit to Kyiv and follow-on talks with Washington, sustain a steady flow of statements, updates on security guarantees, and war-related commentary. Battlefield developments or any escalation in airstrikes could prompt additional posts, while a quieter period without major announcements might keep output nearer the lower end of observed ranges. The tight distribution across the top three bins reflects traders’ assessment that routine presidential communications will dominate absent a significant new catalyst during the resolution period.