Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$182,397 Объем
27 фев. 2027 г.
1,2 млн
64%
1,3 млн
20%
1,4 млн
9%
1,5 млн
6%
1,7 млн
3%
2 млн
2%
$182,397 Объем
1,2 млн
$10,444 Объем
64%
1,3 млн
$7,721 Объем
20%
1,4 млн
$19,774 Объем
9%
1,5 млн
$9,719 Объем
6%
1,7 млн
$58,787 Объем
3%
2 млн
$16,314 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Объем
$182,397Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Объем
$182,397Дата окончания
28 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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