Trump administration actions since early 2026 have driven the high probability against an endorsement. President Trump met opposition leader María Corina Machado in January, accepted her Nobel Peace Prize medal as a gesture, yet publicly stated she lacked sufficient domestic support or respect to lead Venezuela. Subsequent reporting shows the administration sidelined her requests to return amid recovery efforts, described her as a distraction, and maintained distance through mid-2026 even as she announced plans to run again before the end of the year. These positions align with trader consensus reflected in the 88.5% implied probability for no endorsement, amid ongoing questions over Venezuela's electoral timeline and U.S. diplomatic priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПоддержит ли Трамп Марию Корину Мачадо на выборах президента Венесуэлы в 2026 году?
Да
$113,887 Объем
$113,887 Объем
Да
$113,887 Объем
$113,887 Объем
If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration actions since early 2026 have driven the high probability against an endorsement. President Trump met opposition leader María Corina Machado in January, accepted her Nobel Peace Prize medal as a gesture, yet publicly stated she lacked sufficient domestic support or respect to lead Venezuela. Subsequent reporting shows the administration sidelined her requests to return amid recovery efforts, described her as a distraction, and maintained distance through mid-2026 even as she announced plans to run again before the end of the year. These positions align with trader consensus reflected in the 88.5% implied probability for no endorsement, amid ongoing questions over Venezuela's electoral timeline and U.S. diplomatic priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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