**Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have aligned legislative priorities with the White House, reducing the volume of bills likely to prompt a veto.** Bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act advanced with veto-proof margins earlier in 2026, and recent stopgap funding legislation cleared both chambers by wide margins before heading to the president for expected signature. Trump has used leverage through delayed signings or demands on unrelated priorities like the SAVE America Act rather than formal vetoes, while Congress has largely avoided sending divisive legislation to his desk. With midterms approaching and a continuing resolution funding government operations through December already advancing, scheduled appropriations and policy deadlines have proceeded without major confrontations that would shift the implied probability away from no vetoes for the remainder of the year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
50% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
50% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have aligned legislative priorities with the White House, reducing the volume of bills likely to prompt a veto.** Bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act advanced with veto-proof margins earlier in 2026, and recent stopgap funding legislation cleared both chambers by wide margins before heading to the president for expected signature. Trump has used leverage through delayed signings or demands on unrelated priorities like the SAVE America Act rather than formal vetoes, while Congress has largely avoided sending divisive legislation to his desk. With midterms approaching and a continuing resolution funding government operations through December already advancing, scheduled appropriations and policy deadlines have proceeded without major confrontations that would shift the implied probability away from no vetoes for the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Объем
$5,321Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have aligned legislative priorities with the White House, reducing the volume of bills likely to prompt a veto.** Bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act advanced with veto-proof margins earlier in 2026, and recent stopgap funding legislation cleared both chambers by wide margins before heading to the president for expected signature. Trump has used leverage through delayed signings or demands on unrelated priorities like the SAVE America Act rather than formal vetoes, while Congress has largely avoided sending divisive legislation to his desk. With midterms approaching and a continuing resolution funding government operations through December already advancing, scheduled appropriations and policy deadlines have proceeded without major confrontations that would shift the implied probability away from no vetoes for the remainder of the year.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,321Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have aligned legislative priorities with the White House, reducing the volume of bills likely to prompt a veto.** Bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act advanced with veto-proof margins earlier in 2026, and recent stopgap funding legislation cleared both chambers by wide margins before heading to the president for expected signature. Trump has used leverage through delayed signings or demands on unrelated priorities like the SAVE America Act rather than formal vetoes, while Congress has largely avoided sending divisive legislation to his desk. With midterms approaching and a continuing resolution funding government operations through December already advancing, scheduled appropriations and policy deadlines have proceeded without major confrontations that would shift the implied probability away from no vetoes for the remainder of the year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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