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icon for Кого арестуют до 2027 года?
Политика·Джеймс Коми

Кого арестуют до 2027 года?

icon for Кого арестуют до 2027 года?
Политика·Джеймс Коми

Кого арестуют до 2027 года?

$364,923 Объем

Polymarket

$364,923 Объем

Polymarket

Энтони Фаучи

$135,467 Объем

12%

Джон Бреннан

$18,168 Объем

29%

Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро

$21,677 Объем

23%

Адам Шифф

$16,394 Объем

3%

Барак Обама

$28,805 Объем

1%

Джеймс Коми

$9,602 Объем

6%

Махмуд Халиль

$1,278 Объем

30%

Джеймс Клэппер

$6,726 Объем

13%

Летишия Джеймс

$2,821 Объем

13%

Хиллари Клинтон

$25,009 Объем

3%

Билл Клинтон

$2,008 Объем

3%

Лоретта Линч

$2,376 Объем

10%

Сьюзан Райс

$304 Объем

8%

Кэндис Оуэнс

$263 Объем

6%

Гэвин Ньюсом

$37,157 Объем

3%

Биньямин Нетаньяху

$1,789 Объем

5%

Джон Керри

$346 Объем

3%

Пэм Бонди

$1,998 Объем

4%

Том Хоман

$39,428 Объем

11%

Каш Патель

$530 Объем

3%

Брэндон Джонсон

$3,191 Объем

12%

Лиза Кук

$3,253 Объем

11%

Ли Джун Сок

$794 Объем

11%

Джо Байден

$5,538 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$364,923
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$364,923
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Обама арестован до 2027 года?

Обама арестован до 2027 года?

3%
Да
icon for Будет ли арестован Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро до 31 декабря 2026 года?

Будет ли арестован Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро до 31 декабря 2026 года?

20%
Да
icon for Ли Чжэ Мён будет арестован до 2027 года?

Ли Чжэ Мён будет арестован до 2027 года?

7%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 24 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Махмуд Халиль» с 30%, за ним следует «Джон Бреннан» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $364.9K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?», просмотри 24 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» — «Махмуд Халиль» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джон Бреннан» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.