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icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Технологии·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

icon for Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?
Технологии·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

авг. 31

сент. 30

авг. 31

сент. 30

OpenAI 46%

MiniMax 44%

Meituan 34%

Moonshot 30%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

OpenAI 46%

MiniMax 44%

Meituan 34%

Moonshot 30%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$50 Объем

46%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$80 Объем

44%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$50 Объем

34%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$50 Объем

30%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$50 Объем

30%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$50 Объем

30%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$50 Объем

29%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$50 Объем

29%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$50 Объем

29%

icon for Meta

Meta

$50 Объем

28%

icon for Google

Google

$50 Объем

28%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$50 Объем

28%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$50 Объем

28%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$50 Объем

23%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$50 Объем

23%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$50 Объем

23%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$50 Объем

18%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$50 Объем

18%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$50 Объем

18%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$50 Объем

18%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$70 Объем

45%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Tight competition on LiveBench, a contamination-free benchmark refreshed with fresh questions across objective tasks, drives the near-even market-implied odds between OpenAI and Anthropic at 46% and 45.5%. Recent June 2026 results show Claude variants and GPT-5 series models separated by fractions of a point at the top, with Gemini, Kimi, and other frontier releases also posting strong scores under 70% overall. Traders see slim differentiation from incremental capability gains in reasoning and coding, frequent model iterations by major labs, and the risk that new releases or optimizations could reorder standings before month-end. This uncertainty favors no clear frontrunner among the crowded field of Chinese and Western developers.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Объем
$1,100
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://livebench.ai/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Tight competition on LiveBench, a contamination-free benchmark refreshed with fresh questions across objective tasks, drives the near-even market-implied odds between OpenAI and Anthropic at 46% and 45.5%. Recent June 2026 results show Claude variants and GPT-5 series models separated by fractions of a point at the top, with Gemini, Kimi, and other frontier releases also posting strong scores under 70% overall. Traders see slim differentiation from incremental capability gains in reasoning and coding, frequent model iterations by major labs, and the risk that new releases or optimizations could reorder standings before month-end. This uncertainty favors no clear frontrunner among the crowded field of Chinese and Western developers.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Объем
$1,100
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://livebench.ai/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Связанные

icon for Будет ли у Anthropic лучшая AI-модель на LiveBench (в целом) к концу сентября 2026 года?

Будет ли у Anthropic лучшая AI-модель на LiveBench (в целом) к концу сентября 2026 года?

45%
Да
icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?

59%
icon for Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?

49%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «OpenAI» с 46%, за ним следует «Anthropic» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 46¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 29, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?» — «OpenAI» с 46%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Anthropic» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.