Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №1 в конце октября? (Управление стилем включено)
Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №1 в конце октября? (Управление стилем включено)
Anthropic 62%
Meituan 20.5%
Xiaomi 15.4%
Microsoft 12.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
57%
Meituan
21%
Xiaomi
15%
Microsoft
12%
Meta
12%
OpenAI
11%
DeepSeek
11%
Moonshot
10%
9%
SpaceXAI
8%
Alibaba
7%
StepFun
5%
ByteDance
4%
MiniMax
4%
Z.ai
4%
Mistral
3%
Nvidia
9%
Tencent
11%
Baidu
1%
Thinky
1%
Amazon
16%
Anthropic 62%
Meituan 20.5%
Xiaomi 15.4%
Microsoft 12.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$77 Объем
57%
Meituan
$110 Объем
21%
Xiaomi
$112 Объем
15%
Microsoft
$108 Объем
12%
Meta
$39 Объем
12%
OpenAI
$39 Объем
11%
DeepSeek
$44 Объем
11%
Moonshot
$39 Объем
10%
$39 Объем
9%
SpaceXAI
$39 Объем
8%
Alibaba
$39 Объем
7%
StepFun
$77 Объем
5%
ByteDance
$93 Объем
4%
MiniMax
$110 Объем
4%
Z.ai
$47 Объем
4%
Mistral
$112 Объем
3%
Nvidia
$106 Объем
9%
Tencent
$110 Объем
11%
Baidu
$54 Объем
1%
Thinky
$110 Объем
1%
Amazon
$106 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,608Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$1,608Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the market lead at 58% because its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 variants currently top style-controlled leaderboards such as LMSYS Arena and BenchLM, reflecting stronger substance-over-style performance on agentic coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks after June 2026 releases. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Chinese models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sit close behind on raw benchmarks but trail when length and formatting biases are adjusted, keeping the field tightly contested around 50% for several contenders. Traders are watching for any September or October updates that could alter rankings before resolution, as product timelines and capability jumps remain fluid in the frontier LLM race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы