Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting persistent economic dissatisfaction and public skepticism toward U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. Inflation and higher costs for groceries and fuel remain the dominant voter concern, with multiple surveys showing majorities blaming administration policies for price pressures. The conflict has further weighed on ratings by raising energy costs and prompting questions about strategy and casualties. These factors have produced limited movement in aggregates over recent weeks, keeping outcomes clustered around 38 percent. With the measurement date only days away, trader consensus reflects expectations of continued stability absent a major new economic release, diplomatic development, or escalation that could shift sentiment before September 25.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38,5–38,9 47%
38,0–38,4 37%
37,5–37,9 23%
39,5+ 22%
<37,5
21%
37,5–37,9
23%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
47%
39,0–39,4
20%
39,5+
22%
38,5–38,9 47%
38,0–38,4 37%
37,5–37,9 23%
39,5+ 22%
<37,5
21%
37,5–37,9
23%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
47%
39,0–39,4
20%
39,5+
22%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, reflecting persistent economic dissatisfaction and public skepticism toward U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. Inflation and higher costs for groceries and fuel remain the dominant voter concern, with multiple surveys showing majorities blaming administration policies for price pressures. The conflict has further weighed on ratings by raising energy costs and prompting questions about strategy and casualties. These factors have produced limited movement in aggregates over recent weeks, keeping outcomes clustered around 38 percent. With the measurement date only days away, trader consensus reflects expectations of continued stability absent a major new economic release, diplomatic development, or escalation that could shift sentiment before September 25.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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