**Mixed critical reception and modest theater counts are anchoring trader consensus around a sub-$4.5 million domestic opening for The Uprising this weekend.** Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama about the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt stars Andrew Garfield but has drawn lukewarm reviews, with Rotten Tomatoes scores hovering near 50% and Metacritic at 45, reflecting concerns over conventional storytelling and limited broad appeal. Focus Features is rolling it out on roughly 2,000 screens in the post-Labor Day corridor, typical for mid-budget period pieces without major franchise draw. Pre-release tracking has stayed soft amid competition from stronger holdovers and limited marketing momentum. The market’s heavy weighting toward the lowest bracket reflects these headwinds, though actual performance could shift with Friday exit polls and word-of-mouth once it opens September 11–13.