Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven technology sectors, underpins the market-implied odds favoring an S&P 500 close above 7,500 by year-end 2026, with recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi lifting targets to 8,000–8,100. As of early June 2026, the index trades near 7,400 amid a modest pullback, reflecting resilient 25% projected EPS expansion offset by sticky inflation risks from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments. This balance keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 range, as traders weigh broadening participation beyond mega-cap names against potential Fed restraint and valuation compression. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming earnings releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 24%
$7,500–$8,000 21%
$7,000–$7,500 20%
$6,500–$7,000 14%
$29,937 Объем
$29,937 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
12%
$6,000–$6,500
11%
$6,500–$7,000
14%
$7,000–$7,500
20%
$7,500–$8,000
21%
>$8,000
24%
>$8,000 24%
$7,500–$8,000 21%
$7,000–$7,500 20%
$6,500–$7,000 14%
$29,937 Объем
$29,937 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$17,357 Объем
12%
$6,000–$6,500
$1,802 Объем
11%
$6,500–$7,000
$3,004 Объем
14%
$7,000–$7,500
$1,575 Объем
20%
$7,500–$8,000
$3,019 Объем
21%
>$8,000
$3,180 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven technology sectors, underpins the market-implied odds favoring an S&P 500 close above 7,500 by year-end 2026, with recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi lifting targets to 8,000–8,100. As of early June 2026, the index trades near 7,400 amid a modest pullback, reflecting resilient 25% projected EPS expansion offset by sticky inflation risks from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments. This balance keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 range, as traders weigh broadening participation beyond mega-cap names against potential Fed restraint and valuation compression. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming earnings releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$29,937Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven technology sectors, underpins the market-implied odds favoring an S&P 500 close above 7,500 by year-end 2026, with recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi lifting targets to 8,000–8,100. As of early June 2026, the index trades near 7,400 amid a modest pullback, reflecting resilient 25% projected EPS expansion offset by sticky inflation risks from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments. This balance keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 range, as traders weigh broadening participation beyond mega-cap names against potential Fed restraint and valuation compression. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming earnings releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$29,937Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven technology sectors, underpins the market-implied odds favoring an S&P 500 close above 7,500 by year-end 2026, with recent upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs and Citi lifting targets to 8,000–8,100. As of early June 2026, the index trades near 7,400 amid a modest pullback, reflecting resilient 25% projected EPS expansion offset by sticky inflation risks from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments. This balance keeps probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 range, as traders weigh broadening participation beyond mega-cap names against potential Fed restraint and valuation compression. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming earnings releases and any shifts in monetary policy guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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