Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million second weekend, despite a steep 60 percent drop, have shaped trader views on its third frame. Typical superhero legs after such launches point to another sizable decline into the low $70 million range or below, especially with August audience fatigue and no major new competition this frame. Strong word-of-mouth, IMAX holdovers, and the film’s $1.67 billion global haul through its second weekend support resilience, yet the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued softening rather than a repeat of the prior frame’s strength.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКасса третьего уик-энда «Человек-паук: Новый день»
Касса третьего уик-энда «Человек-паук: Новый день»
<72 млн 59%
72-79 млн 29%
79-86 млн 29%
86-93 млн 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
<72 млн
59%
72-79 млн
29%
79-86 млн
29%
86-93 млн
25%
93 млн+
5%
<72 млн 59%
72-79 млн 29%
79-86 млн 29%
86-93 млн 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
<72 млн
$60 Объем
59%
72-79 млн
$95 Объем
29%
79-86 млн
$60 Объем
29%
86-93 млн
$60 Объем
25%
93 млн+
$193 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million second weekend, despite a steep 60 percent drop, have shaped trader views on its third frame. Typical superhero legs after such launches point to another sizable decline into the low $70 million range or below, especially with August audience fatigue and no major new competition this frame. Strong word-of-mouth, IMAX holdovers, and the film’s $1.67 billion global haul through its second weekend support resilience, yet the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued softening rather than a repeat of the prior frame’s strength.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Объем
$468Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million second weekend, despite a steep 60 percent drop, have shaped trader views on its third frame. Typical superhero legs after such launches point to another sizable decline into the low $70 million range or below, especially with August audience fatigue and no major new competition this frame. Strong word-of-mouth, IMAX holdovers, and the film’s $1.67 billion global haul through its second weekend support resilience, yet the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued softening rather than a repeat of the prior frame’s strength.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$468Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $144 million second weekend, despite a steep 60 percent drop, have shaped trader views on its third frame. Typical superhero legs after such launches point to another sizable decline into the low $70 million range or below, especially with August audience fatigue and no major new competition this frame. Strong word-of-mouth, IMAX holdovers, and the film’s $1.67 billion global haul through its second weekend support resilience, yet the market-implied odds reflect expectations of continued softening rather than a repeat of the prior frame’s strength.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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