Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Оскар-2027»: лучший актер
Джон Малкович 26.4%
Мэтт Дэймон 25%
Том Круз 17%
Эндрю Скотт 17%
$120,950 Объем
$120,950 Объем

Джон Малкович
26%

Мэтт Дэймон
25%

Том Круз
17%

Эндрю Скотт
17%

Роберт Паттинсон
8%

Себастиан Стэн
2%

Джереми Стронг
2%

Райан Гослинг
2%

Тимоти Шаламе
1%

Джаафар Джексон
1%

Сэм Рокуэлл
1%

Педро Паскаль
1%

Адам Драйвер
<1%

Брэд Питт
<1%

Хавьер Бардем
<1%

Роберт Арамио
<1%

Джон Туртурро
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%
Джон Малкович 26.4%
Мэтт Дэймон 25%
Том Круз 17%
Эндрю Скотт 17%
$120,950 Объем
$120,950 Объем

Джон Малкович
26%

Мэтт Дэймон
25%

Том Круз
17%

Эндрю Скотт
17%

Роберт Паттинсон
8%

Себастиан Стэн
2%

Джереми Стронг
2%

Райан Гослинг
2%

Тимоти Шаламе
1%

Джаафар Джексон
1%

Сэм Рокуэлл
1%

Педро Паскаль
1%

Адам Драйвер
<1%

Брэд Питт
<1%

Хавьер Бардем
<1%

Роберт Арамио
<1%

Джон Туртурро
<1%

Джош О'Коннор
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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