Recent polling averages place the AfD near 41 percent in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, nearly double its 2021 result, while the CDU trails at 22-23 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. With 83 total seats and a projected distribution that favors the leading party when fringe options underperform, these figures map most directly to the 38-41 seat band. Traders have priced in stable AfD support through the final campaign week, limited volatility in late surveys, and the structural impact of the electoral threshold on seat allocation. Other ranges remain possible only if turnout or minor-party results deviate sharply from current patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38-41 74%
42-45 16%
34-37 9.2%
46-49 2.9%
$221,334 Объем
$221,334 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<34
<1%
34-37
9%
38-41
74%
42-45
16%
46-49
3%
50+
1%
38-41 74%
42-45 16%
34-37 9.2%
46-49 2.9%
$221,334 Объем
$221,334 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<34
$27,953 Объем
<1%
34-37
$49,574 Объем
9%
38-41
$44,732 Объем
74%
42-45
$39,566 Объем
16%
46-49
$33,853 Объем
3%
50+
$25,879 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the AfD near 41 percent in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, nearly double its 2021 result, while the CDU trails at 22-23 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. With 83 total seats and a projected distribution that favors the leading party when fringe options underperform, these figures map most directly to the 38-41 seat band. Traders have priced in stable AfD support through the final campaign week, limited volatility in late surveys, and the structural impact of the electoral threshold on seat allocation. Other ranges remain possible only if turnout or minor-party results deviate sharply from current patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Объем
$221,334Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place the AfD near 41 percent in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, nearly double its 2021 result, while the CDU trails at 22-23 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. With 83 total seats and a projected distribution that favors the leading party when fringe options underperform, these figures map most directly to the 38-41 seat band. Traders have priced in stable AfD support through the final campaign week, limited volatility in late surveys, and the structural impact of the electoral threshold on seat allocation. Other ranges remain possible only if turnout or minor-party results deviate sharply from current patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$221,334Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the AfD near 41 percent in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, nearly double its 2021 result, while the CDU trails at 22-23 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. With 83 total seats and a projected distribution that favors the leading party when fringe options underperform, these figures map most directly to the 38-41 seat band. Traders have priced in stable AfD support through the final campaign week, limited volatility in late surveys, and the structural impact of the electoral threshold on seat allocation. Other ranges remain possible only if turnout or minor-party results deviate sharply from current patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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