**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.** This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38-41 74%
42-45 16%
34-37 9.0%
46-49 2.6%
$221,559 Объем
$221,559 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<34
<1%
34-37
9%
38-41
74%
42-45
16%
46-49
3%
50+
1%
38-41 74%
42-45 16%
34-37 9.0%
46-49 2.6%
$221,559 Объем
$221,559 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<34
$27,953 Объем
<1%
34-37
$49,574 Объем
9%
38-41
$44,732 Объем
74%
42-45
$39,566 Объем
16%
46-49
$33,853 Объем
3%
50+
$25,879 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.**
This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Объем
$221,559Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.**
This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$221,559Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.** This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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