Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD between 7% and 9%, consistent with its 8.4% result in 2021 and stable performance as the junior partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September show the party holding in this band amid a broader shift toward the AfD (around 41-43%) and sharp CDU declines (22-23%). The SPD's position reflects limited movement in voter preferences during the final campaign weeks, with its share supported by the five-percent threshold dynamics and efforts to mobilize against potential AfD gains. Trader pricing aligns with these aggregates, indicating the 7-9% interval as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest variance on election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено7-9% 53%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 12.5%
<5% <1%
$149,414 Объем
$149,414 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<5%
1%
5-7%
37%
7-9%
53%
9%+
13%
7-9% 53%
5-7% 37%
9%+ 12.5%
<5% <1%
$149,414 Объем
$149,414 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<5%
$25,851 Объем
1%
5-7%
$45,200 Объем
37%
7-9%
$48,594 Объем
53%
9%+
$29,768 Объем
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD between 7% and 9%, consistent with its 8.4% result in 2021 and stable performance as the junior partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September show the party holding in this band amid a broader shift toward the AfD (around 41-43%) and sharp CDU declines (22-23%). The SPD's position reflects limited movement in voter preferences during the final campaign weeks, with its share supported by the five-percent threshold dynamics and efforts to mobilize against potential AfD gains. Trader pricing aligns with these aggregates, indicating the 7-9% interval as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest variance on election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Объем
$149,414Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD between 7% and 9%, consistent with its 8.4% result in 2021 and stable performance as the junior partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September show the party holding in this band amid a broader shift toward the AfD (around 41-43%) and sharp CDU declines (22-23%). The SPD's position reflects limited movement in voter preferences during the final campaign weeks, with its share supported by the five-percent threshold dynamics and efforts to mobilize against potential AfD gains. Trader pricing aligns with these aggregates, indicating the 7-9% interval as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest variance on election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$149,414Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the SPD between 7% and 9%, consistent with its 8.4% result in 2021 and stable performance as the junior partner in the outgoing CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap in late August and early September show the party holding in this band amid a broader shift toward the AfD (around 41-43%) and sharp CDU declines (22-23%). The SPD's position reflects limited movement in voter preferences during the final campaign weeks, with its share supported by the five-percent threshold dynamics and efforts to mobilize against potential AfD gains. Trader pricing aligns with these aggregates, indicating the 7-9% interval as the modal outcome while leaving room for modest variance on election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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