**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Мараньяна: 2-е место
Выборы в Сенат Мараньяна: 2-е место
Raimundo Moreira 45%
Wilson Leite 26%
Simplício Araújo 26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Raimundo Moreira
45%
Wilson Leite
26%
Simplício Araújo
26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
25%
Enilton Rodrigues
25%
Weverton Rocha
22%
Lahesio Bonfim
22%
Cidônio Gonçalves
21%
Eliziane Gama
21%
Fufuca
20%
Roseana Sarney
19%
Raimundo Moreira 45%
Wilson Leite 26%
Simplício Araújo 26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Raimundo Moreira
$36 Объем
45%
Wilson Leite
$36 Объем
26%
Simplício Araújo
$36 Объем
26%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$36 Объем
25%
Enilton Rodrigues
$36 Объем
25%
Weverton Rocha
$36 Объем
22%
Lahesio Bonfim
$36 Объем
22%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$36 Объем
21%
Eliziane Gama
$36 Объем
21%
Fufuca
$52 Объем
20%
Roseana Sarney
$36 Объем
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Объем
$412Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$412Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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