Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Wuhan’s minimum temperature on September 7 around 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. This range reflects typical early-September radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32 °C, with limited moisture and modest diurnal variation. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered between 20 °C and 21 °C yet 17 °C or below holding the plurality, traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in short-range guidance against climatological norms for the region. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles ahead of resolution will likely refine the expected minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 7 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 7 сентября?
17°C или ниже 69%
27°C или выше 59%
18°C 50%
23°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
69%
18°C
50%
19°C
48%
20°C
30%
21°C
32%
22°C
26%
23°C
50%
24°C
48%
25°C
19%
26°C
2%
27°C или выше
59%
17°C или ниже 69%
27°C или выше 59%
18°C 50%
23°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$0 Объем
69%
18°C
$0 Объем
50%
19°C
$0 Объем
48%
20°C
$0 Объем
30%
21°C
$0 Объем
32%
22°C
$0 Объем
26%
23°C
$0 Объем
50%
24°C
$0 Объем
48%
25°C
$0 Объем
19%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Wuhan’s minimum temperature on September 7 around 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. This range reflects typical early-September radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32 °C, with limited moisture and modest diurnal variation. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered between 20 °C and 21 °C yet 17 °C or below holding the plurality, traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in short-range guidance against climatological norms for the region. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles ahead of resolution will likely refine the expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Wuhan’s minimum temperature on September 7 around 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. This range reflects typical early-September radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32 °C, with limited moisture and modest diurnal variation. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered between 20 °C and 21 °C yet 17 °C or below holding the plurality, traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in short-range guidance against climatological norms for the region. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles ahead of resolution will likely refine the expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Wuhan’s minimum temperature on September 7 around 21–23 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light variable winds. This range reflects typical early-September radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs near 32 °C, with limited moisture and modest diurnal variation. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered between 20 °C and 21 °C yet 17 °C or below holding the plurality, traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in short-range guidance against climatological norms for the region. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles ahead of resolution will likely refine the expected minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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