Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high pressure limiting radiational cooling overnight. Recent observations show stable conditions with dew points near 10–12°C and no incoming cold air mass, keeping the overnight low above historical September averages in some runs. Trader sentiment splits closely between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while specific buckets around 13–15°C capture the narrow consensus range. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will provide the clearest signals before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 14 сентября?
9°C или ниже 80%
19°C или выше 80%
12°C 40%
16°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
80%
10°C
17%
11°C
18%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
23%
15°C
11%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
13%
19°C или выше
80%
9°C или ниже 80%
19°C или выше 80%
12°C 40%
16°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$45 Объем
80%
10°C
$40 Объем
17%
11°C
$0 Объем
18%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
26%
14°C
$0 Объем
23%
15°C
$55 Объем
11%
16°C
$0 Объем
39%
17°C
$0 Объем
39%
18°C
$0 Объем
13%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high pressure limiting radiational cooling overnight. Recent observations show stable conditions with dew points near 10–12°C and no incoming cold air mass, keeping the overnight low above historical September averages in some runs. Trader sentiment splits closely between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while specific buckets around 13–15°C capture the narrow consensus range. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will provide the clearest signals before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$141Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high pressure limiting radiational cooling overnight. Recent observations show stable conditions with dew points near 10–12°C and no incoming cold air mass, keeping the overnight low above historical September averages in some runs. Trader sentiment splits closely between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while specific buckets around 13–15°C capture the narrow consensus range. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will provide the clearest signals before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$141Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 14 will likely fall between 13–15°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and high pressure limiting radiational cooling overnight. Recent observations show stable conditions with dew points near 10–12°C and no incoming cold air mass, keeping the overnight low above historical September averages in some runs. Trader sentiment splits closely between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes because small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by several degrees, while specific buckets around 13–15°C capture the narrow consensus range. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will provide the clearest signals before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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